Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 0.660152 0.857817 1.081497 1.350056 1.660476 2.004922 2.412899
2025-02-23 0.384954 0.624855 0.934282 1.347187 1.868743 2.491694 3.277881
2025-03-02 0.211180 0.445174 0.793106 1.307539 2.010611 2.903056 4.086466
2025-03-09 0.133826 0.365371 0.757209 1.387259 2.301303 3.513157 5.175433
2025-03-16 0.073162 0.277796 0.680102 1.386298 2.472326 3.971782 6.092148
2025-03-23 0.047221 0.242457 0.676791 1.491023 2.795867 4.647750 7.319708
2025-03-30 0.027638 0.204879 0.656029 1.559305 3.064815 5.256557 8.476940
2025-04-06 0.013862 0.166438 0.619199 1.590051 3.272515 5.782667 9.534842
2025-04-13 0.004676 0.122999 0.552537 1.551767 3.361175 6.134015 10.355838
2025-04-20 0.001368 0.097271 0.517689 1.565570 3.531344 6.607528 11.357790
2025-04-27 0.000208 0.076860 0.487156 1.580810 3.701005 7.082446 12.370348
2025-05-04 NaN 0.053815 0.432983 1.533866 3.754879 7.377500 13.126261
2025-05-11 NaN 0.035220 0.379423 1.479084 3.793203 7.655756 13.876761
2025-05-18 NaN 0.025227 0.352319 1.481428 3.935845 8.103996 14.891014
2025-05-25 NaN 0.015576 0.312466 1.441868 3.993885 8.415986 15.707600
2025-06-01 NaN 0.013553 0.319187 1.528456 4.302517 9.146593 17.172134
2025-06-08 NaN 0.008878 0.296633 1.528185 4.437256 9.592449 18.210827
2025-06-15 NaN 0.008360 0.311793 1.640373 4.804714 10.435386 19.872243
2025-06-22 NaN 0.006863 0.313928 1.713396 5.094696 11.154132 21.353184
2025-06-29 NaN 0.004818 0.303667 1.746274 5.302520 11.738224 22.634693
2025-07-06 NaN 0.002334 0.272534 1.705530 5.352144 12.052776 23.501463
2025-07-13 NaN 0.001309 0.259183 1.720274 5.519519 12.572051 24.694734
2025-07-20 NaN 0.000665 0.247126 1.736530 5.689705 13.098405 25.904908